Few paid attention to a rare protest in Saudi Arabia in late January 2011 as a wave of popular uprisings swept the Middle East and North Africa, toppling the leaders of Tunisia, Egypt, Libya and Yemen. Yet, the protests and criticism of the government’s handling of floods in the Red Sea port of Jeddah in 2009 and 2011 play an important role in Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman’s extension to members of the ruling family and the military of his crackdown on any form of opposition to his mercurial rise, economic and social reform plans, and conduct of the Yemen war.
In announcing the creation of an anti-corruption committee headed by Prince Mohammed as well as the dismissals and/or detention of eleven princes, senior government officials. an unidentified number of prominent businessmen largely linked to different factions within the ruling family, and top military officers, the government said the new body would be looking into the handling of the floods.
Torrential rain in Jeddah that caused death and destruction as well as prolonged power outages in the city prompted dozens to protest Jeddah’s poor infrastructure. The 2009 floods killed 120 people and triggered a rare public debate about the management of public funds and infrastructure defects. The 2011 torrents prompted dozens to protest the port city’s poor infrastructure that Saudis said was the reason why floods had such a devastating effect.
The 2011 protest erupted in response to a mass Blackberry message campaign, calling on residents to gather on the city’s main shopping street. Up to 50 protestors were believed to have been arrested.
The government, in a bid to address widespread frustration in Jeddah, this year contracted China’s state-owned Chinese Communication Construction Group (CCCG) to build a 37-kilometre-long channel to catch rain and flood water. "It might be an ordinary channel in another area, but it isn't the same in Saudi Arabia and it has special importance and came after painful lessons," said Ma Chifeng, the director of CCCG’s Jeddah City Project for Flood Drainage.
The crackdown is of course about much more than the Jeddah floods, even if making them one of the anti-corruption committee’s first focal points is significant. Among those dismissed and/or detained were National Guard head Prince Meteb bin Abdullah; economy minister and former Jeddah mayor Adel bin Mohammad Fakeih; and navy commander Abdullah al-Sultan, as well as reportedly businessmen such as multi-billionaire Prince Al-Waleed bin Talal bin Abdulaziz, a major shareholder in some of the world’s best-known blue chips and media mogul, who is widely seen as a liberal; Waleed bin Ibrahim al-Ibrahim, a brother-in-law of King Fahd and together with Abdulaziz bin Fahd, the late king’s son, owner of the Middle East Broadcasting Company (MBC) that operates the Al Arabiya television network; and Saleh Kamel, head of one of the Middle East’s largest conglomerates, who in the past had close ties to the Muslim Brotherhood.
Prince Meteb, a son of the late King Abdullah, was the last senior member of the ruling family unconnected to King Salman’s tack of the family, who was in a position of power. The tribally-rooted guard, a military unit founded alongside the military to protect the ruling family rather than the country, was long seen as a stronghold of King Abdullah and his closest associates.
The crackdown on national guard and military commanders coincided with Houthi rebels signalling with a missile firing that the Saudi capital of Riyadh was within their range. The firing suggested that Saudi Arabia’s strategy in the 2.5-year long Yemen war, based on an air campaign rather than the commitment of Saudi ground troops, has so far failed to achieve its declared goal of ensuring the kingdom’s security.
The crackdown also follows the disappearance and alleged kidnapping of three of four known dissident members of the Saudi ruling family who had gone into exile in Europe. Among the four was Prince Turki bin Bandar, a former senior police officer responsible for policing the ruling family, and Prince Sultan bin Turki, the husband of a late daughter of King Abdullah.
It also follows a wave of earlier arrests of scores of Islamic scholars, judges and intellectuals, whose views run the gamut from ultra-conservative to liberal. Among those arrested were scholars Salman al-Odah, Aaidh al-Qarni and Ali al-Omari, poet Ziyad bin Naheet and economist Essam al-Zamil, some of whom have more than 17 million followers on Twitter.
The detentions were designed to silence alleged support in the kingdom for an end to the almost four-month old Gulf crisis that has pitted Saudi Arabia and its allies against Qatar, mounting criticism of the conduct of the Yemen war, and Prince Mohammed’s reforms.
Beyond grandiose plans, Prince Mohammed has yet to deliver on the economic aspects of his reform plans articulated in his Vision 2030. Prince Mohammed has so far delivered on limited, headline-grabbing social changes such as lifting the ban on women’s driving and access to sports stadia needed for his economic reforms as well the encouragement of greater entertainment opportunities that contribute to economic growth and address grievances among youth who account for a majority of the kingdom’s population. He has yet to deliver on jobs in a country that has high un- and under-employment and whose population has been weaned on cradle-to-grave welfare.
The most recent crackdown breaks with the tradition of consensus within the ruling family whose secretive inner workings are equivalent to those of the Kremlin at the time of the Soviet Union. Nonetheless, the dismissals and detentions suggest that Prince Mohammed rather than forging alliances is extending his iron grip to the ruling family, the military, and the national guard to counter what appears to be more widespread opposition within the family as well as the military to his reforms and the Yemen war.
It raises questions about the reform process that increasingly is based on a unilateral rather than a consensual rewriting of the kingdom's social contract. “It is hard to envisage MBS succeeding in his ambitious plans by royal decree. He needs to garner more consent. To obtain it, he must learn to tolerate debate and disagreement,” quipped The Economist, recently referring to Prince Mohammed by his initials.
Dr. James M. Dorsey is a senior fellow at the S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies, co-director of the University of Würzburg’s Institute for Fan Culture, and co-host of the New Books in Middle Eastern Studies podcast. James is the author of The Turbulent World of Middle East Soccer blog, a book with the same title as well as Comparative Political Transitions between Southeast Asia and the Middle East and North Africa, co-authored with Dr. Teresita Cruz-Del Rosario and Shifting Sands, Essays on Sports and Politics in the Middle East and North Africa.
Where's the mecca of those who oppose prince's (be it superficial) reforms?... Pakistan.
Thanks for this detailed analysis.
I wonder if there is a new trend in Middle East, post the failure of Arab Spring and its false blooms of Islamist "flowers" like ISIS.
Egypt has turned into a one-man dictatorship.
Turkey has turned into a one-man dictatorship.
Saudi is turning into a one-man dictatorship?
Looks like a trend to me
All those purged in the Suadi top echelons are sympathetic to the regime in Tehran! The new trend in the ME is to remove obstacles to the ultimate goal which is an unambiguous, unequivocal, irrefutable regime change in Iran! The reason you see so much cynicism and negativity among the IRI regime agents on this site including the ridiculous green guy above is because they are scared effectively goh-less!!!
I undesratand why some people get so upset with Saudi Arabia, one of United States key allies in middle east making so much real progress and reform, in such a short time since President Trumps historic Trip to the kingdom.
This is all good news for saudi women, Saudi people and bad news for terrorist Shite ISIS ruling Aya-Toolehs in Tehran who had their N.Korean Rocket blown to pieces over Saudi Airport yesterday, Thanks to fantastic US Technology.
Thank you Mr. president. Keep up the good work
With these two no-non-sense leaders at the helm, Ali Khayeh-Many and his minions including the 24/7/365 nocheh (aka koon-khoda) are in deep doo doo!
Prof Dorsey, please don't feel shy to use the "delete", and "block" buttons. They're there to maintain the much-deserved integrity of "your space"...
Oh yes it had to be Chomsky! then why he didn't take refuge in a 'democratic' country all these years?!
Whitewashing the genocide in Cambodia was just criticizing the American policy I suppose!
But at least there was a cold war going on back then and it's always better to have anti-Americans you know rather than those you don't (like the flux of Iranians who failed the university entry ‘concour’ in Iran to become our future educated 'intellectuals' in the U.S.)!
But the cold war is over. You lost. Get over it Noam.. or get lost.
Sorry, benross.
I’m concussed. Are you attacking me, the messenger. Or Chomsky.
Chomsky of-course. And those who still quote him in socio-political discourse!
Chomsky is an honourable man... A noble thinker... Even his most notable critics can easily attest to that... And... Nobody is stopping any of us to track him down on one his public appearances to take the mic to prove him wrong. He's totally accessible... why wait, baba?
Thanks Alphabet, I appreciate. It's not my style to cut people off. I recognize people's right to express their opinions and choose which ones I wish to respond to.
Nice one Jimmy Jan, nice one!!!
You start by teaching the "ridiculous Green IRI aagent", the alphabets of free speech, and Iranians might in a couple of hundred years time start seeing the same level of reforms people of saudi Arabia are witnessing today!
of course , that is unless President trump decides to accelerate the reform process in Iran by a couple of hundred years!
:)))
Dear Prof Dorsey: You are having a nice chelo kabob shamshiri with extra gojeh and doogh in one of the high class restaurants in north Tehran - you notice a heavy set green guy running toward your table and shouting Allahu Akbar - would you dive under the table?
What is a green guy?
This is an old fashioned political purge and a consolidation of power. I don't buy this whole "anti-corruption" ruse for a minute!
The “discourse” here reminded me of when I was in elementary school. Then, some of my schoolmates were reading books such as Jalaal Aalahmad’s “Gharbzadaghi.” I was not interested in and didn’t know much about the books they were reading.
My objective for posting the article above was to show there’s no limit to what people may say. From what I have read and seen of Chomsky, I do not subscribe to most things he says. In fact, I have at times been disgusted by what he has said.
Sorry GR I didn't go to the link and I didn't catch your point. In fact I was a bit surprised by that... and angry! Sorry.
Not a problem!