CNBC:

  • Donald Trump’s reelection campaign was designed under the premise that the economy would be strong through November, but that’s not true anymore.
  • Trump also planned to make socialism a central focus of his attacks. But without Bernie Sanders to run against, this argument becomes a lot less potent.
  • Trump campaigned on “draining the swamp” of big government. Now he wants Americans to trust in big government to fight coronavirus and save the economy.

WASHINGTON – Looking back now, the night of Feb. 4 was probably the pinnacle of Donald Trump’s presidency.

A few minutes past 9:00 p.m. ET, Trump entered the ornate House Chamber and then glad-handed his way down the aisle, all to the sound of thundering applause from Republicans, who chanted “four more years.” 

This was Trump’s third State of the Union address. The 90-minute speech Trump delivered was packed with the confidence, self-flattery and showmanship that have become hallmarks of his tenure in office.

The speech also reflected his optimism about the U.S. economy, a sentiment that millions of Americans shared with him at the time, according to polls. Financial markets were soaring and the unemployment rate was at a historic low. That afternoon, the Nasdaq Composite Index had set a new record high, at 9,467. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, an indicator Trump often touts, closed at 28,807 that day, already well on its way to an all-time high of 29,551 it would hit later that month. 

The economy wasn’t the only thing Trump was celebrating that Tuesday night. A day earlier, in the first-in-the-nation Iowa caucuses, Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders, won the popular vote. Sanders is a self-described Democratic socialist whom, polling indicated, Trump would defeat in a general election. 

Trump also knew that the next day he would be acquitted in his impeachment trial in the Senate. For Trump, the verdict would represent a long-awaited triumph over his perceived enemies, including Democrats in Congress, whistleblowers in his own White House, and the “deep state” government bureaucrats who Trump feared were plotting to bring him down. 

With his impeachment trial behind him and his approval ratings the highest they had ever been, Trump seemed perfectly positioned to easily win reelection in November.

And, now, almost all of it is gone. 

In just over a month, three pillars underpinning his argument for reelection have all collapsed: The strong economy Trump planned to run on; the Bernie Sanders campaign Trump had planned to run against; and the “us vs. them” approach to Washington and the federal government, on which Trump has built his political brand

 

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